99% Of XRP & Crypto Holders Are Not Ready For What’s Coming Next
If you have no idea where or when the bottom price will happen, you need to read today’s news.
Although I do not always agree with him, I actually independently researched today’s particular call by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee about crypto nearing a bottom and found it to be something on which I can actually agree.
When I look at my 200-, 100-, and 50-week simple moving averages (SMAs), as well as the 4-year bitcoin cycle, and various other fundamental and technical indicators that I write about here every day and on Discord, the evidence is starting to become compelling.
Market Context
When I look at 2026 so far and the Iran-Israel-US conflict, it’s honestly been quite shocking.
There have been cataclysmic events this month that have caused a relatively small amount of forced crypto liquidations.
In recent years, the same severe cadence of negative news could have sent prices of bitcoin and XRP absolutely tanking.
Remember, the current broad crypto sell-off began on October 10, 2025 – not this year. That 2025 event started relatively idiosyncratically on Binance and had little to do with global macro.
Given crypto’s relative strength amid a very uncertain macro landscape, I am starting to time my entries. More on that in today’s XRP Premium Analysis.
News
Ripple moves toward Australian digital asset license (Ripple)
US exchanges argue prediction markets require regulation (Reuters)
CFTC Chair calls prediction markets “truth machines” (Cftc.gov)
China’s Supreme Court signals crack down on crypto crime (DLNews)
UK flags rising crypto investment risks (Sevice.gov.uk)
SEC and CFTC step up coordination on market oversight (Sec.gov)
Senate okays ChatGPT, Gemini and Copilot for office use (NYTimes)
Pentagon orders removal of Anthropic removal from key systems (CBSnews)
Thailand freezes 10,000 “suspicious” crypto accounts (Bangkokpost)
South Korea sells $315M in seized BTC (Chosun)
Strategy plans additional share sales in pre- and post-market hours (X)
xStocks launches rewards program (CoinDesk)
Fake cop steals $1M in BTC from French couple (Blockchain.news)
Société Generale launches Euro-backed stablecoin on Stellar (Sgforge)
Bitgo invests in Ubyx stablecoin settlement network (PRNewswire)
Nothing in this newsletter is financial or investment advice. We summarize news for informational and entertainment purposes only. We do not provide advisory services, guidance, or information regarding trading or investing. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
XRP Premium Analysis
At writing time, XRP is trading at $1.40, directly in the middle of its range over the past four weeks from $1.27 to $1.52.
It is between its 200- and 100-week SMAs, with strong rising support in the hopefully unlikely event of any final Iran catastrophe this weekend like a US ground invasion.
In terms of my entry…